2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Condo
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,445/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,516
Tax + insurance
−$264
HOA
−$338
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$513
Net cashflow
$-186/mo
Annual
$-2,232/yr
Cap rate
5.52%
Cash-on-cash
-2.76%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$80,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $289k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-186 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (11.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $244k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#127 in MI, #3,163 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Rochester Community School District (suburban): math 60% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #21 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Delta Kelly Elementary School (math 73% / reading 66%, grade A-, #74 of 1,397 statewide, top 7%, 632 students, 6% FRL); Van Hoosen Middle School (math 59% / reading 77%, grade B, #43 of 713 statewide, top 6%, 864 students, 7% FRL); Rochester Adams High School (math 70% / reading 84%, grade A-, #11 of 713 statewide, top 2%, 1,534 students, 7% FRL) — zoned schools at 7% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.8% in Rochester Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($164k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y5HFN3DDHV4K25
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29