2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,073 sqft ·
Built 1911
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,792/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,723
Tax + insurance
−$1,136
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,426
Net cashflow
$506/mo
Annual
$6,076/yr
Cap rate
7.15%
Cash-on-cash
3.06%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$198,786
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $710k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $253/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $679k (4.3% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($667k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $667k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $418k; list at $710k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,792/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 2002% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y5KA2C3A5P9H92
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29