2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
798 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,414/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$-748/mo
Annual
$-8,980/yr
Cap rate
3.49%
Cash-on-cash
-10.02%
DSCR
0.55
1% rule
0.44%
Cash to close
$89,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-748 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (41.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (55.8% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $141k (55.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#228 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y5PN29151R4VT7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29