4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,672 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 308 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,473/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$95
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$676/mo
Annual
$8,108/yr
Cap rate
17.10%
Cash-on-cash
38.61%
DSCR
2.72
1% rule
1.96%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 308 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#498 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Jones County Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #121 of 178 in NC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pollocksville Elementary (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 119 students, 98% FRL); Jones Senior High School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #385 of 535 statewide, top 72%, 557 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 70% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jones County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 308 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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