2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,538 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,004/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$380/mo
Annual
$4,554/yr
Cap rate
13.90%
Cash-on-cash
27.15%
DSCR
2.21
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#107 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Opp City (town): math 26% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 129 in AL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Opp Elementary School (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B, #53 of 627 statewide, top 9%, 531 students, 65% FRL); Opp Middle School (math 16% / reading 48%, grade F, #110 of 257 statewide, top 44%, 405 students, 69% FRL); Opp High School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #169 of 305 statewide, top 59%, 393 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 48% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.0% in Opp — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— visible wear
Major: exterior siding
— some discoloration
Major: interior walls
— paint peeling
Major: kitchen cabinets
— dated design
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated design
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y5XNQM8SQ7TJ6B
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29