3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,693 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 182 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,269/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,253
Tax + insurance
−$285
HOA
−$258
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$477
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-42/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.13%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$66,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $239k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-42/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (0.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (5.0% below list).
It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#329 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 304 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $21k; list at $239k implies a 1044% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y61B1ZDATCHG9C
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29