1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 210 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,204/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$275
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$-8/mo
Annual
$-96/yr
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.35%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-96/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (1.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#134 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Thompson School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #124 of 153 in CT (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 149 units permitted in Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?