3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,858 sqft ·
Built 2021
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 496 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,626
Tax + insurance
−$517
HOA
−$30
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$-565/mo
Annual
$-6,782/yr
Cap rate
4.11%
Cash-on-cash
-7.81%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$86,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $310k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-565 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (26.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (34.4% below list).
It's been on market 496 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (34.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#167 in TX, #4,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Elgin ISD (rural): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #741 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Neidig El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 599 students, 79% FRL); Elgin Middle (math 22% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 780 students, 82% FRL); Elgin H S (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 1,672 students, 74% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 814 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,841 units permitted in Bastrop County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bastrop County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 496 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y7H3BK47VCVBHB
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29