3 bd · 1.75 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 500 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,208/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$585
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$-128/mo
Annual
$-1,540/yr
Cap rate
10.06%
Cash-on-cash
13.45%
DSCR
1.60
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.75-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-128 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $76k (19.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 500 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $76k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#87 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lincoln County School District #1 (rural): math 63% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #4 of 41 in WY (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Canyon Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #17 of 151 statewide, top 14%, 320 students, 22% FRL); Kemmerer Junior Senior High School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade C+, #11 of 75 statewide, top 18%, 264 students, 19% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 220 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 500 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 52 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29