4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,210 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,785/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$585
Net cashflow
$1,347/mo
Annual
$16,168/yr
Cap rate
21.13%
Cash-on-cash
52.98%
DSCR
3.36
1% rule
2.56%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $109k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $109k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#907 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
Fulton City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #554 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $29k; list at $109k implies a 276% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 6.9% in Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y8AD6S7EVFN6RM
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29