4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,810 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,391/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,353
Tax + insurance
−$430
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$502
Net cashflow
$106/mo
Annual
$1,272/yr
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.76%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$72,237
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (4.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (16.1% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $239k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#384 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Foley Elementary School (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #323 of 627 statewide, top 52%, 992 students, 76% FRL); Foley Middle School (math 11% / reading 36%, grade F, #172 of 257 statewide, top 68%, 783 students, 82% FRL); Foley High School (math 24% / reading 25%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,578 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 38% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Baldwin County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $72k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.7% in Summerdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y8FHNX7VACTJPR
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29