3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,134 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,225/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$288
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-784/mo
Annual
$-9,405/yr
Cap rate
2.92%
Cash-on-cash
-12.04%
DSCR
0.46
1% rule
0.44%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-784 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (49.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (56.1% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (56.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#280 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Pcm Community School District (rural): math 65% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #124 of 289 in IA (top 43%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $138k; list at $279k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 56% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29