2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
792 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 132 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$842/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$-154/mo
Annual
$-1,853/yr
Cap rate
4.87%
Cash-on-cash
-5.09%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (21.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (35.3% below list).
It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (35.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#9 in KS, #1,205 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
Hoisington (town): math 34% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #77 of 169 in KS (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Barton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $130k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29