9 bd · 6.9 ba ·
4,562 sqft ·
Built 1984
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,392/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$498
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$922
Net cashflow
$1,403/mo
Annual
$16,840/yr
Cap rate
11.93%
Cash-on-cash
20.12%
DSCR
1.90
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $299k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $468/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $281k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#19 in AK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D-, crime F.
Bristol Bay Borough School District (rural): math 20% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #34 of 53 in AK (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Bristol Bay Borough in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bristol Bay County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: Exterior wood
— Exposed and deteriorating
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt
CashFlowRE · CFR-YA39Y44WP65232
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29