3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,499 sqft ·
Built 1922
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,120/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$653
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$235
Net cashflow
$24/mo
Annual
$293/yr
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.84%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$34,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($293/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (10.0% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $861 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#24 in KS, #2,382 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Sterling (rural): math 55% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #8 of 169 in KS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sterling Grade School (math 67% / reading 52%, grade B-, #70 of 684 statewide, top 12%, 260 students, 46% FRL); Sterling Junior High/Senior High (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #12 of 327 statewide, top 5%, 214 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Rice County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rice County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YA8ZSFFTAW26WJ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29