3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,624 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,757
Tax + insurance
−$213
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$-311/mo
Annual
$-3,728/yr
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.97%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$93,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $335k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-311 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (16.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (37.3% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (37.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#63 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
Delmar School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #17 of 26 in DE (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $173k; list at $335k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.1% in Delmar — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YAPPDYEDVJE5C7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29