2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,024 sqft ·
Built 1927
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 122 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$33
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$824/mo
Annual
$9,888/yr
Cap rate
45.84%
Cash-on-cash
141.25%
DSCR
7.28
1% rule
5.01%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $824 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#364 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Camden Fairview School District (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #229 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Ouachita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ouachita County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 45.8% vs local median 5.2% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YB3ZZWB4Z6R3PJ
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29