3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,060/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$487
Tax + insurance
−$155
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$643
Net cashflow
$1,775/mo
Annual
$21,301/yr
Cap rate
29.22%
Cash-on-cash
81.89%
DSCR
4.64
1% rule
3.29%
Cash to close
$26,012
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $93k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $93k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $642 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#175 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jessup Elementary (math 10% / reading 14%, grade F, #550 of 860 statewide, top 66%, 597 students, 47% FRL); Meade Middle (math 4% / reading 19%, grade F, #205 of 225 statewide, top 92%, 788 students, 79% FRL); Meade High (math 25% / reading 50%, grade F, #138 of 222 statewide, top 63%, 2,330 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 25% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 29.2% vs local median 4.0% in Severn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YB9CD4FXF6F42E
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29