2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
930 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Condo
· Pending
· 188 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,610/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$850
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$301
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$-82/mo
Annual
$-988/yr
Cap rate
5.68%
Cash-on-cash
-2.18%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$45,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $162k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-82 ($-988/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (9.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (0.6% below list).
It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#101 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Parkway C-2 (suburban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #18 of 324 in MO (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Mckelvey Intermediate (math 61% / reading 70%, grade B+, #63 of 1,115 statewide, top 6%, 425 students, 15% FRL); Northeast Middle (math 33% / reading 47%, grade F, #185 of 391 statewide, top 48%, 703 students, 24% FRL); North High (math 35% / reading 70%, grade C-, #89 of 521 statewide, top 17%, 1,074 students, 34% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.2% in Maryland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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