3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 106 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,102/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$-101/mo
Annual
$-1,213/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.89%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-101 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (11.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (26.5% below list).
It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (9.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#224 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Rush Springs (rural): math 14% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #181 of 270 in OK (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Rush Springs Es (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 244 students, 0% FRL); Rush Springs Ms (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #193 of 345 statewide, top 60%, 108 students, 0% FRL); Rush Springs Hs (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 130 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Grady County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grady County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YBZRDE0J3VH563
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29