5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,564 sqft ·
Built 1908
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 647 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,448/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,412
Tax + insurance
−$767
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$934
Net cashflow
$335/mo
Annual
$4,020/yr
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.12%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$128,800
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $460k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $445k (3.3% below list).
It's been on market 647 days — a 12% lower offer ($405k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $405k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,448/mo this rent would consume 121% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 816% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 647 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: White picket fence
— Significant wear and tear
Minor: Bushes
— Overgrown and need trimming
CashFlowRE · CFR-YC0XDB6HZ7ZACE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29