2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Condo
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,574/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$755
Tax + insurance
−$240
HOA
−$266
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$330
Net cashflow
$-18/mo
Annual
$-215/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.53%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$40,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $144k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-215/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (1.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $141k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
Fitzgerald Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #503 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $144k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior paint
— Slight discoloration on red siding
Minor: interior paint
— Slight discoloration on interior walls
CashFlowRE · CFR-YC4X6P4N64T09S
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29