2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,441 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Condo
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,587/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,892
Tax + insurance
−$514
HOA
−$172
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$753
Net cashflow
$256/mo
Annual
$3,068/yr
Cap rate
7.14%
Cash-on-cash
3.04%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$100,999
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $361k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $359k (0.6% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $359k (0.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in RI, #2,425 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
East Greenwich (suburban): math 47% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #3 of 39 in RI (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 471 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kent County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $309k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.8% in Warwick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($139k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Signage and landscaping appear well-maintained, but the overall exterior condition is poor.
Major: interior walls and flooring
— No interior photos provided, but based on the exterior, the interior likely requires extensive repairs and updates.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No photos of HVAC or mechanical systems provided.
Major: roof
— No visible roof damage in the exterior photos, but the overall exterior condition is poor.
Major: landscaping
— Signage and landscaping appear well-maintained, but the overall exterior condition is poor.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YCYKM7BD10J5Z5
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29