4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,840 sqft ·
Built 1979
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$644
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$735
Net cashflow
$-370/mo
Annual
$-4,440/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.34%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $475k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-370 ($-4k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-185/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $410k (13.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (26.3% below list).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($461k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $350k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in WA, #1,036 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
Olympia School District (urban): math 66% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #17 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $229k; list at $475k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.4% in Olympia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-YD65GQBZDCPEYK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29