2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
882 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Condo
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,920/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$248
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$-10/mo
Annual
$-118/yr
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.23%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-118/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (0.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#385 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Gloucester Township Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #351 of 472 in NJ (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Highland Regional High School (math 9% / reading 41%, grade F, #325 of 399 statewide, top 81%, 1,204 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.6% in Pine Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YDCKJ53QSZ37TW
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29