4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,005 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 179 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$364
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$299/mo
Annual
$3,585/yr
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.11%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#268 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
Atchison Public Schools (town): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #154 of 169 in KS (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12 units permitted in Atchison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atchison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 6.8% in Atchison — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YDQDVDE615GFS8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29