4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,684 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Other
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,092/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$390
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$649
Net cashflow
$-570/mo
Annual
$-6,834/yr
Cap rate
4.93%
Cash-on-cash
-4.88%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$140,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-570 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $399k (20.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $309k (38.2% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($485k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $309k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $53k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#32 in MO, #2,940 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Branson R-IV (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #44 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Buchanan Elementary (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #70 of 1,115 statewide, top 8%, 594 students, 54% FRL); Branson Jr. High (math 48% / reading 49%, grade C-, #81 of 391 statewide, top 21%, 724 students, 51% FRL); Branson High (math 42% / reading 56%, grade D, #145 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 1,423 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 331 units permitted in Taney County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taney County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.6% in Branson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YEJ26T76Q8YZR4
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29