3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,128 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,796/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$650
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$377
Net cashflow
$680/mo
Annual
$8,162/yr
Cap rate
12.87%
Cash-on-cash
23.51%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$34,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#22 in AL, #4,825 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, employment D, commute F.
Elmore County (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #21 of 129 in AL (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Redland Elementary School (math 35% / reading 66%, grade D+, #114 of 627 statewide, top 19%, 734 students, 40% FRL); Wetumpka Middle School (math 19% / reading 51%, grade F, #86 of 257 statewide, top 34%, 738 students, 73% FRL); Wetumpka High School (math 29% / reading 43%, grade F, #43 of 305 statewide, top 14%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL).
Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Elmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elmore County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.5% in Wetumpka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YEJXB20YGC9AQT
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29