2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$868/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$182
Net cashflow
$-78/mo
Annual
$-936/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.68%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-78 ($-936/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (11.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (30.5% below list).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#159 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Stigler (town): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #151 of 270 in OK (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Haskell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Haskell County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $95k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.6% in Stigler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YFAAJR9Z6JMY2W
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29