2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,153 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Condo
· Active
· 178 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,727/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$835
Tax + insurance
−$391
HOA
−$800
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$-662/mo
Annual
$-7,945/yr
Cap rate
2.25%
Cash-on-cash
-14.44%
DSCR
0.36
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$44,604
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $159k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-662 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $63k (60.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (60.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Deep Creek Elementary School (math 64% / reading 68%, grade B+, #492 of 2,144 statewide, top 23%, 835 students, 47% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; HOA is 46% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 621 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.2% vs local median 3.9% in Port Charlotte — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 60% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29