2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Condo
· Active
· 318 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,069/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$225
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-779/yr
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.81%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-779/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (9.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Jonesboro School District (urban): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #169 of 238 in AR (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kindergarten Center (503 students, 100% FRL); Annie Camp Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #150 of 201 statewide, top 76%, 784 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-YG485VF8GERSGJ
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29