15 bd · 9.0 ba ·
2,664 sqft ·
Built 1942
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,895/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,288
Tax + insurance
−$1,466
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,288
Net cashflow
$854/mo
Annual
$10,243/yr
Cap rate
7.15%
Cash-on-cash
3.05%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$335,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $854 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $285/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.09M (9.1% below list).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.06M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Ps 19 Marino Jeantet (math 19% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,687 of 2,108 statewide, top 80%, 1,654 students, 86% FRL); Is 73 Frank Sansivieri Intermediate School (The) (math 48% / reading 71%, grade B, #161 of 729 statewide, top 24%, 1,799 students, 72% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-1.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,895/mo this rent would consume 183% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 7283% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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