Eugene Plan

Happy Valley, OR 97015

$174,900B

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,125 sqft · Built — · Manufactured · Active · 41 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,001/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$490
• Tax + insurance: −$156
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$420
• Net cashflow: $935/mo
• Annual: $11,216/yr
• Cap rate: 18.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 42.84%
• DSCR: 2.91
• 1% rule: 2.14%
• Cash to close: $26,180

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $935 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $646 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#76 in OR, #3,386 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
• North Clackamas SD 12 (suburban): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #22 of 58 in OR (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Milwaukie El Puente Elementary School (math 34% / reading 15%, grade F, #309 of 412 statewide, top 77%, 418 students, 0% FRL); Rock Creek Middle School (math 19% / reading 44%, grade F, #82 of 128 statewide, top 64%, 902 students, 33% FRL); Clackamas High School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade C+, #23 of 143 statewide, top 19%, 1,224 students, 27% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 2.5% in Happy Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.