2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
696 sqft ·
Built 1940
· Other
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$860/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$181
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-58/yr
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-58/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (0.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#178 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
Wilmot School District 54-7 (rural): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #138 of 148 in SD (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Wilmot Elementary - 02 (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #187 of 253 statewide, top 77%, 122 students, 49% FRL); Wilmot Middle School - 03 (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #118 of 143 statewide, top 84%, 34 students, 47% FRL); Wilmot High School - 01 (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #69 of 151 statewide, top 65%, 66 students, 47% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Wilmot School District 54-7 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Roberts County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Roberts County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $99k implies a 214% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YH02WGE84M5MPA
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29