3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,346 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$25,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,555
Tax + insurance
−$942
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,250
Net cashflow
$12,253/mo
Annual
$147,030/yr
Cap rate
18.06%
Cash-on-cash
42.01%
DSCR
2.87
1% rule
2.00%
Cash to close
$350,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.25M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $12k ($147k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($25k rent vs $1.25M).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.21M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.21M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $40k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Salisbury School District (rural): math 60% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #55 of 192 in CT (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Salisbury Central School (math 62% / reading 77%, grade A-, #78 of 553 statewide, top 17%, 296 students, 18% FRL); Housatonic Valley Regional High School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #107 of 194 statewide, top 56%, 319 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 9% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 70% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Salisbury School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $675k; list at $1.25M implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $350k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$101k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YH27JHD5P214TF
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29