5 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,768 sqft ·
Built 1914
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,428/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$223
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$776/mo
Annual
$9,313/yr
Cap rate
28.21%
Cash-on-cash
78.26%
DSCR
4.48
1% rule
3.36%
Cash to close
$11,900
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $42k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $776 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#348 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities D-.
Fort Dodge Community School District (town): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #285 of 289 in IA (top 99%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Webster County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $30k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YH57VC6Q2A33R3
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29