3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 269 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,888/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$432
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$396
Net cashflow
$975/mo
Annual
$11,700/yr
Cap rate
20.49%
Cash-on-cash
50.71%
DSCR
3.26
1% rule
2.29%
Cash to close
$23,072
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $975 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $570 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Coldwater Community Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #344 of 540 in MI (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Legg Middle School (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #303 of 493 statewide, top 62%, 653 students, 61% FRL); Coldwater High School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #364 of 713 statewide, top 51%, 944 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Branch County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Branch County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
11 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $82k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YH6YFZF6ZD88K1
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29