2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,024 sqft ·
Built 2011
· Manufactured
· Active
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,242/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$666
Tax + insurance
−$278
HOA
−$34
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$3/mo
Annual
$35/yr
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.34%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$35,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $127k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($35/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (2.2% below list).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#361 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
Grove (town): math 26% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #77 of 270 in OK (top 28%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Grove Lower Es (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 848 students, 0% FRL); Grove Upper Es (math 23% / reading 33%, grade F, #64 of 345 statewide, top 19%, 507 students, 0% FRL); Grove Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 782 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Delaware County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown areas need trimming.