2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Manufactured
· Active
· 315 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,668/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$50
HOA
−$695
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$350
Net cashflow
$416/mo
Annual
$4,997/yr
Cap rate
23.01%
Cash-on-cash
59.69%
DSCR
3.66
1% rule
5.58%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 315 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Big Walnut Local (rural): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #103 of 656 in OH (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $9k; list at $30k implies a 232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($148k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 315 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YHH4TGF0WXQ2T2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29