3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,443 sqft ·
Built 1910
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$860
Tax + insurance
−$264
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$61/mo
Annual
$731/yr
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.59%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$45,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $164k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($731/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (8.5% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#343 in PA, #3,022 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Blue Mountain SD (town): math 42% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #126 of 539 in PA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Blue Mountain El East Sch (math 44% / reading 68%, grade C+, #489 of 1,518 statewide, top 32%, 616 students, 33% FRL); Blue Mountain Ms (math 25% / reading 60%, grade D-, #216 of 512 statewide, top 43%, 575 students, 34% FRL); Blue Mountain Hs (math 62%, 803 students, 29% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $164k implies a 556% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YHH9F918SZYP3S
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29