2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
957 sqft ·
Built 1876
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,042/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$443
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$239/mo
Annual
$2,869/yr
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.13%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$23,660
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($584 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#291 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
South Spencer County School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in IN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Luce Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #237 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 189 students, 38% FRL); South Spencer Middle School (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D+, #79 of 330 statewide, top 24%, 228 students, 56% FRL); South Spencer High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #64 of 369 statewide, top 18%, 357 students, 44% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1876 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Spencer County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $34k; list at $84k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1876 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YHHVVGF5DN3GYW
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29