4 bd · 5.5 ba ·
4,117 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,083/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$12,581
Tax + insurance
−$3,968
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$647
Net cashflow
$-14,113/mo
Annual
$-169,354/yr
Cap rate
-0.77%
Cash-on-cash
-25.21%
DSCR
-0.12
1% rule
0.13%
Cash to close
$671,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/5.5-bath single-family listed at $2.40M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14k ($-169k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $352k (85.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $308k (87.1% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $308k (87.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $17k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $72k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#119 in IL, #2,064 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
New Trier Twp Hsd 203 (suburban): math 76% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #2 of 620 in IL (top 0%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: New Trier Township H S Northfield (923 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.45M; list at $2.40M implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate -0.8% vs local median 1.7% in Glencoe — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YJ0Y86FXKRGFBH
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29