3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 320 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$677
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$-271/mo
Annual
$-3,250/yr
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.91%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-271 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (20.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (11.2% below list).
It's been on market 320 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Barbe Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #415 of 646 statewide, top 67%, 164 students, 84% FRL); S. J. Welsh Middle School (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 1,107 students, 49% FRL); Washington/Marion Magnet High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #241 of 265 statewide, top 93%, 587 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Calcasieu Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $114k; list at $229k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 320 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-YJK78HAQNJ3GRN
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29