2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
953 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 336 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,144/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$171
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$240
Net cashflow
$-416/mo
Annual
$-4,992/yr
Cap rate
4.01%
Cash-on-cash
-8.14%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-416 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (33.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (47.8% below list).
It's been on market 336 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (47.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#5 in WV, #674 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D-.
Monongalia County Schools (urban): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #1 of 55 in WV (top 2%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Suncrest Elementary School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade C, #29 of 377 statewide, top 10%, 567 students, 0% FRL); Suncrest Middle School (math 46% / reading 57%, grade C, #4 of 109 statewide, top 3%, 501 students, 0% FRL); Morgantown High School (math 49% / reading 73%, grade C+, #2 of 110 statewide, top 1%, 1,859 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 32% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 23 units permitted in Monongalia County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monongalia County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 3.0% in Morgantown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 336 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YK7HTR0KM9CK9X
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29