2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,000 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Condo
· Pending
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,129/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$411
HOA
−$1,542
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,077
Net cashflow
$421/mo
Annual
$5,054/yr
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.53%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.60%
Cash to close
$89,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $320k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $320k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $301k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#517 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Beachland Elementary School (math 54% / reading 58%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 523 students, 39% FRL); Gifford Middle School (math 46% / reading 45%, grade D+, #305 of 571 statewide, top 54%, 582 students, 72% FRL); Vero Beach High School (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,847 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 501 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 1.5% in Indian River Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($150k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YNCGEP13K987NN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29