3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 2012
· Condo
· Active
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,249/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$315
HOA
−$667
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$472
Net cashflow
$-196/mo
Annual
$-2,357/yr
Cap rate
5.05%
Cash-on-cash
-4.45%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $189k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-196 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (15.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $161k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#413 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Washingtonville Central School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #288 of 590 in NY (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Little Britain Elementary School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 429 students, 27% FRL); Washingtonville Middle School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #473 of 729 statewide, top 66%, 900 students, 35% FRL); Washingtonville Senior High School (math 92% / reading 89%, grade A+, #231 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 1,318 students, 29% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 1.7% in Beaver Dam Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance and dated design.
Moderate: Bathtub and fixtures
— Worn appearance.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance.
Moderate: Front porch
— Some wear visible.
Moderate: Hardwood floors
— Worn appearance.
Moderate: Paint
— Faded appearance in some areas.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YP771V9ZKZJYEK
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29