2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,862 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,220/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$89
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$676
Net cashflow
$36/mo
Annual
$431/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.44%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$97,997
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $350k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($431/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $322k (8.0% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $322k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#141 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 245 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.8% in Waldorf — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Signs of wear and tear indicate significant damage.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Clutter and signs of wear suggest urgent need for cleaning and repairs.
Major: Flooring
— Worn appearance indicates need for replacement.
Major: Paint
— Signs of discoloration and damage indicate urgent need for repainting.
Major: Exterior siding
— Visible wear and potential damage suggest urgent need for repair.
Major: Windows
— Dirty and old appearance indicates need for cleaning and possible replacement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YQ22JE8KMMNJD0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29