2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,196 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Condo
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,252/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$427
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$140
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$291/mo
Annual
$3,497/yr
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.32%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.54%
Cash to close
$22,820
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $563 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#491 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Collinsville CUSD 10 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #465 of 620 in IL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Collinsville High School (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #427 of 693 statewide, top 62%, 1,978 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.0% in Collinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YQ34J85563T372
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29