3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,521 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,359/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$106/mo
Annual
$1,272/yr
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.25%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (2.9% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $136k (2.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bonanza Elementary School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #392 of 412 statewide, top 96%, 233 students, 73% FRL); Bonanza Junior/Senior High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #115 of 143 statewide, top 82%, 221 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 59% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.