3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,748 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,348/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,549
Tax + insurance
−$492
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$-977/mo
Annual
$-11,726/yr
Cap rate
2.32%
Cash-on-cash
-14.17%
DSCR
0.37
1% rule
0.46%
Cash to close
$82,730
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-977 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#333 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Tri County Public Schools (rural): math 56% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #28 of 111 in NE (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 443197.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YQDJ8M6SMX92VC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29